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Yan Xuetong on the World to 2035: Hegemony and Its Challengers
A Review of Yan Xuetong's book of forecasts, Inflection of History (2026)
May 11
•
James Farquharson
20
6
Spring Recovery or Price-Shock Mirage? | Economics Digest: April 2026
Iran War Impacts | Economic Recovery and Rebalancing | Overseas Expansion | Yuan Internationalisation | Economic Indicators | Local Government | AI…
May 6
•
James Farquharson
16
4
Triangles and Chokepoints | Digest: April 2026
Global Order | US-China | Europe | Russia | East Asia | Trade and Resource Security | Economics | Artificial Intelligence
May 4
•
James Farquharson
,
Thomas des Garets Geddes
, and
Jacob Mardell
10
4
3
April 2026
A Chinese-Style Kill Line? | by Yang Haiyan
"Rapid urbanisation, economic structural transformation, and the adjustment and slowdown of economic growth mean that China now also faces the latent…
Apr 26
•
Jacob Mardell
26
1
4
Liquidating an "Empire": China's Strategy to Capitalise on US Hegemonic Strain | by Wu Xinbo
"Whilst avoiding systemic conflict with the US, how can we employ an effective and precise negotiating strategy to harvest the strategic resources that…
Apr 21
•
James Farquharson
58
9
17
Strait of Hormuz Blockade: How China Should Respond | by Ye Yan
"In this crisis, the United States is trying to wear down its Asian rivals at the lowest possible cost, and Iran is trying to turn the Strait into a…
Apr 15
•
Jacob Mardell
22
4
5
The “Greater-than-Expected” Impact of the Iran War on China’s Economy | by Peng Shaozong
"Ensuring the supply and price stability of bulk commodities is therefore both a tough battle [攻坚战] and a protracted campaign of endurance [持久战]."
Apr 13
•
Jacob Mardell
and
Thomas des Garets Geddes
17
2
7
Trump's Tiger-Riding Predicament | Digest: March 2026
Iran War | Global Order & US–China Relations | Taiwan | Chinese Economy | Artificial Intelligence
Apr 6
•
Jacob Mardell
,
Thomas des Garets Geddes
, and
James Farquharson
8
4
1
When Non-Interference Is No Longer Enough: A Qualified Case for Chinese “Interventionism 2.0”
"I believe the traditional doctrine of “non-interference” urgently needs to be reexamined and adjusted."
Apr 5
•
Jacob Mardell
25
5
7
March 2026
China’s Financial Strategy: Power, Sovereignty and the Limits of Caution
"The only viable general direction for China’s financial strategy is the full marketisation of its domestic financial system combined with limited…
Mar 31
•
Jacob Mardell
and
Thomas des Garets Geddes
15
2
4
Protracted War in the Middle East: Strategic Opportunity for China
"In an age of great contention, the opportunities that shape national fortunes are often concealed beneath turbulent waves."
Mar 22
•
Jacob Mardell
and
Thomas des Garets Geddes
26
7
11
Iran as the "Bridgehead" for Securing China’s Western Frontier | by Zhang Wenmu
"Iran’s geopolitical position and strategic posture give it immense significance as a 'bridgehead' for the security of China’s western frontier."
Mar 17
•
Jacob Mardell
and
Thomas des Garets Geddes
19
2
3
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